>In 2017 I predicted that most programmers would lose their employer <-> employee bargaining power in the next 15-25 years. This was a pretty controversial take at the time, and I never wrote about it publicly, so it’s hard to claim too much credit for being right.
but that didn't happen either
the highest skilled programmers still make bank. the huge influx of more marginal "boot camp engineers" are in more precarious economic positions, but they weren't in the population of programmers that form the baseline for your comparison.
Maybe it's a US specific thing? I do a lot of hiring, and here in Europe it's quite challenging to find good developers. Once we do, we try to keep them.
So at least for us, developers still have a lot of bargaining power.
but that didn't happen either
the highest skilled programmers still make bank. the huge influx of more marginal "boot camp engineers" are in more precarious economic positions, but they weren't in the population of programmers that form the baseline for your comparison.